EAN: 9780141034591

Bilder-Quelle: discount24.de - Sport-Freizeit

THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything from the rise of religions to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable it carries a massive impact and after the fact we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan so was 9 11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know and shows us how to face the world.

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29.03.2025 um 19:34 Uhr

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